CIE Seminar Series 2016 – Future fire: do we need to worry

Trent PenmanSPEAKER: Dr Trent Penman, School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, Faculty of Science, University of Melbourne

DATE: Friday, 15th July 2016
LOCATION: Melbourne Campus at Burwood – Burwood Corporate Centre (attendees to please report to reception)
TIME: 1:30pm
Seminar will also be video linked to the following campuses: Geelong Campus at Waurn Ponds, Room ka4.207 (Green room) and Warrnambool Campus, Room J2.22

ABSTRACT: Future climates are predicted to be hotter and drier creating an increase in bad fire weather. Many predictions about future fire regimes have been made based on fire weather alone and ignore the other key contributors to fire occurrence and extent, namely ignitions, fuel load and fuel moisture.

In this talk, I will present recent research in which we have attempted to overcome these limitations in order to predict future fire regimes in southern Australia. We found that while there are areas in which fire extent and frequency will increase, there are significant areas where we predict a decrease in fire frequency. Implications for land and conservation management will be discussed.

BIO: Trent is a lecturer in Bushfire Behaviour and Management at The University of Melbourne. His has worked in the field of applied fire management for 15 years.

The current research program is looking to better model fire behaviour and the impact of fire on environmental and human assets.

Appointments with guest speaker may be made via Don Driscoll.

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